The evolution of Alpine glaciers over the twentieth century and climate changes
 

n° 395 - July 2001

 

The variations in the annual volumes of Alpine glaciers, known as mass balances, are a direct reflection of the climate at high altitudes. The winter balance, after accumulation, depends on winter precipitation, and the summer balance, after ablation, results from the variations in energy fluxes at the surface, itself correlated to fluctuations in summer temperatures. A study of variations in the mass balance of glaciers gives a more accurate picture of climate evolution at high altitudes than studies of the fluctuations of glacier fronts, since these cannot be interpreted directly in terms of climatic variations.

Since 2000, the "Observatoire des sciences de l'Univers de Grenoble" (Observatory of Sciences of the Universe of Grenoble) has been funding systematic observations of mass balances. The CNRS "Laboratoire de glaciologie et de géophysique de l'environnement de Grenoble" (Laboratory of Glaciology and Environmental Geophysics of Grenoble) is taking biennial measurements on a set of four glaciers of the French Alps. Relatively precise topographical maps drawn up at the beginning of the twentieth century, direct measurements that began in the mid-twentieth century and current observations have enabled scientists to reconstitute the history of fluctuations in glacial volumes and thus the climatic variations over the past century above an altitude of 2,500 meters in the French Alps. Variations in volume are measured either directly, using core drilling and stakes measurements, or by comparing detailed topographical maps.

The twentieth century is marked by two periods of significant shrinkage: the 1940s and 1982 to the present day. Both periods were preceded by periods of little loss in volume, or even some gain. Before the twentieth century, observations of glacier fronts provided the only indications of the state of glaciers. Although imperfect, they show that glaciers have shrunk significantly since the end of the Little Ice Age, and that this is a global phenomenon. The shrinkage of the late 1940s was a result of both low winter precipitation and sunny summers, whereas the marked shrinkage of the past twenty years results only from warmer summers.


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